@waparna wrote:
Hi All,
I have time series data with 33 data points, however 29th data point has a sudden peak and when confirmed with business this peak is due to some changes and not expected anytime in future. So I decided to predict the 29th month using earlier 28 months data and then use the series for future predictions. I did initial analysis for stationarity and first order difference works in this case but the auto.arima gives ARIMA(0,0,0) model which is nothing but the white noise. Also, when I applied auto.arima on original series with all the obs it gives ARIMA(0,0,0)(0,1,0)[12].
My question is - how to get rid of the peak in 29th month? Any comments on ARIMA(0,0,0) models?
Posts: 1
Participants: 1